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The Expected Value
@TheExpectedValueTracked since May 2026
Observed Aug 1, 2026 · staleModeled revenue
A website for analyzing the expected value of various TCGs..
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Identity, tiers, posts, and visible counts come from the latest public Patreon observation. Growth compares available public snapshots. Revenue is labeled observed only when Patreon exposes it; otherwise it is modeled from public membership and tier signals.
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growth unavailable
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not publicly listed
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Starting price
$5/mo
4 membership tiers
Membership tiers
Pricing and benefits captured publicly
Patreon is not exposing patron counts by tier for this creator, so this section shows public prices and benefits only.
$0/moFreePublic prices and benefits only
$5/moProToolsUnlock the full The Expected Value toolkit for deeper TCG market and EV analysis. Includes sealed price-to-EV tables, singles movers, EV history tools, public set comparisons, advanced sealed product analysis, pricing movement tools, and expanded access to new Pro Tools features as they are added. Built for users who want to compare products, sets, and market signals beyond one-off EV checks.Get deeper MTG finance context and help from Chloe on Discord.She can help break down sealed EV, singles vs. sealed decisions, reprint risk, liquidity, fees, and product structure in a way that is practical, transparent, and grounded in real market friction. This is for people who want clearer thinking, better questions, and a more direct line into the tools, analysis, and improvements being developed.
$10/moManafolioIncludes all Pro Tools benefits plus access to the Sealed Portfolio tracker. Track sealed products you own, compare sell sealed vs rip/open vs hold outcomes, set your own fee/shipping/marketplace assumptions, monitor cost basis, sealed market value, opened EV, profit/loss, liquidation estimates, price-to-EV ratios, watchlists, alerts, daily collection value emails, and CSV exports. Built for collectors and sellers who want to manage sealed product like a portfolio.
$15/moCalculator SponsorWant to shape the site more directly? This tier includes voting on development polls and one monthly request slot for a specific calculator/tool you want added or expanded. If it’s in-scope and feasible, I’ll build it—or break it into phases and keep you updated. You’ll also get access to the Patreon‑connected Discord to discuss ideas, share feedback, and follow progress between posts.Get deeper MTG finance context and help from Chloe on Discord.She can help break down sealed EV, singles vs. sealed decisions, reprint risk, liquidity, fees, and product structure in a way that is practical, transparent, and grounded in real market friction. This is for people who want clearer thinking, better questions, and a more direct line into the tools, analysis, and improvements being developed.
Growth signals — The Expected Value
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Membershippaid members unavailable
010
May 202615 weeks trackedNow
The Expected Valuemembers unavailable · revenue unavailable
The chart only uses The Expected Value's observed public history. Comparison peers are listed below, but comparable trend series are not available yet.
Creator comparisons
5 creators shownWhere The Expected Value ranks
Compare within
Not enough data0 of 7 cohort creators measured
Total audience in Recommended cohort
Semantic matches are not ready, so this fixed cohort uses the best available category, audience, pricing, and cadence evidence.
The Expected Value does not yet have a measured total audience. 0 of 7 cohort creators are measured for this metric.Ranking data · includes stale rows| Rank | Creator and why included | Total audience | Gap vs The Expected Value | Freshness |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not ranked | The Expected ValueProfileVideoTotal audience position in Recommended cohort | Not measured | Reference | Aug 1, 2026Stale |
| Not ranked |  Showtime Exclusives (Only)VideoCategory, audience, pricing & cadence | Not measured | Not comparable | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Not ranked |  The Cringe is RealVideoCategory, audience, pricing & cadence | Not measured | Not comparable | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Not ranked |  The Curiosity CabinetVideoCategory, audience, pricing & cadence | Not measured | Not comparable | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Not ranked |  The F-useVideoCategory, audience, pricing & cadence | Not measured | Not comparable | Aug 1, 2026 |
The rank uses the full fixed cohort. This table shows up to five creators around The Expected Value; the coverage summary above still counts everyone.
What they publish
Recent posts
40Posts total0 postsLast month41.7%Members-only
Previews available for 40 posts
Article Latest postPublicWhat useful tool should we build next?I’m planning the next wave of development for theexpectedvalue.com , and I’d love feedback from the people actually using the site. We already have more set/product coverage coming — including Marvel Superheroes — but I’m especially interested in hearing what tools would save you the most time, help you make better decisions, or make the site more useful in your day-to-day workflow.
June 14 0 likes 0 commentsNew Pricing Options: Mana Pool Market + Mana Pool Low ✅Quick update: Mana Pool pricing is now available across the calculators, with both Market and Low modes. This gives you another way to viewArticleMay 27Public 0 0New Seller Tool: Sealed Sale Net Calculator (Know What You’ll Actually Take Home)If you sell sealed product, the number that matters isn’t the sale price — it’s what you net after fees. I just added a new ProTools featureArticleMay 14Public 0 0
Introducing ProTools — Pay a little money to save a lot of timeToday we’re launching something new: *ProTools* — a premium layer built for people who don’t want to spend their time rebuilding the same spArticleMay 13$4.99 tier & up 2 3
Any interest in GothicLocked Any interest in Gothic May 5ArticleMay 5$4.99 tier & up 0 0
Do you speculate on singles?Locked Do you speculate on singles? May 5 Pokémon isn’t our biggest section yet — so I wanted to ship something genuinely useful (and a little different) to help bring more attention to it. ✅ New tool: Pack Destruction Tracker Pack Destruction Tracker estimates how many packs have been opened for a given Pokémon set using PSA population report data + known pull-rate estimates. Tool link: https://theexpectedvalue.com/pokemon/pack-destruction.html The idea (high-level) When someone pulls a high-end hit (Special Illustration Rares, Gold, etc.), there’s a strong chance it ends up getting submitted for grading. By combining PSA pop counts with pull rates, we can work backwards to estimate the impArticleMay 5$4.99 tier & up 0 0
New Pokémon Tool: Pack Destruction Tracker (Using PSA Pop Data)Pokémon isn’t our biggest section yet — so I wanted to ship something genuinely useful (and a little different) to help bring more attentionArticleMay 1Public 0 0
New Pricing Mode Added: TCGplayer Direct Low ✅I just shipped a new pricing option across the site that’s specifically aimed at sellers who list inventory on TCGplayer Direct: ✅ TCGplayerArticleApril 24$4.99 tier & up 0 0
How do you primarily use the website?Locked How do you primarily use the website? April 24 The Secrets of Strixhaven (SOS) calculators are now live on theexpectedvalue.com . These are fully integrated into the site’s calculator framework, so you’ll get the same overall experience as the other Magic tools: a cleaner UI, consistent outputs, and a workflow that makes it easier to evaluate products without getting buried in repeated info. What you can do with the SOS calculators Evaluate Secrets of Strixhaven products using the site’s standard EV-style approach Compare results in the same mobile-friendly layout as the rest of the calculators Use consistent pricing settings/modes so it’s easier to compare SOS results against other sArticleApril 24$4.99 tier & up 0 0
Secrets of Strixhaven (SOS) Calculators Are Now Live ✅The Secrets of Strixhaven (SOS) calculators are now live on theexpectedvalue.com. These are fully integrated into the site’s calculator framArticleApril 22Public 0 0New: Commander EV-Style Pages for Magic Set Decks & Jumpstart Half DecksI just shipped a new set of pages that I think a lot of people will find useful: ✅ Commander EV pages — now adapted for Magic set decks I buImageApril 11Public 0 0
New Feature: P/E Table Added to All Magic CalculatorsI just rolled out a new feature across the site: a P/E table is now available on every Magic calculator. What is the P/E table? In this contArticleApril 6Public 0 0Continue your research
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