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Will Kurt

@willkurtTracked since May 2026

Observed Jul 14, 2026 · staleModeled revenue

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creating Writing about Probability.

How Patreon Signal reads this profile

Identity, tiers, posts, and visible counts come from the latest public Patreon observation. Growth compares available public snapshots. Revenue is labeled observed only when Patreon exposes it; otherwise it is modeled from public membership and tier signals.

Paid members

0% · 30 days

Total audience

incl. free followers

Estimated monthly gross

$105

$60–$150 modeled range

Starting price

$5/mo

4 membership tiers

Membership tiers

Pricing and benefits captured publicly

Patreon is not exposing patron counts by tier for this creator, so this section shows public prices and benefits only.

$0/moFreePublic prices and benefits only

$5/moBasic BayesiansHelp support the site and get access to a growing library of source code from posts as well as behind the scenes updates from my currently in progress book for No Starch "Hacking Statistics with Python"

$10/moPierre-Simon Lapl-awesomeAll the Basic Bayesian perks plus fieldnotes and reflection, philosophy and opinions.

$20/moSweet JaynesEverything from the other tiers, plus you are just that awesome!

Growth signals — Will Kurt

12 paid members · past 30 days

Membership

121312

May 202615 weeks trackedNow

Will Kurt12 members · $105/mo

The chart only uses Will Kurt's observed public history. Comparison peers are listed below, but comparable trend series are not available yet.

Creator comparisons

Where Will Kurt ranks

5 creators shown

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Paid members Total audience 30-day member gain Estimated gross

#1of 7 measured

Paid members in Recommended cohort

Semantic matches are not ready, so this fixed cohort uses the best available category, audience, pricing, and cadence evidence.

Ranking data · includes stale rows

Will Kurt's paid members rank in Recommended cohort
Rank	Creator and why included	Paid members	Gap vs Will Kurt	Freshness
#1	PineCone's MMD WorldWritingCategory, audience, pricing & cadence	12	Same value	Aug 6, 2026
#1	That's Eurovision Baby!WritingCategory, audience, pricing & cadence	12	Same value	Aug 6, 2026
#1	Will KurtProfileWritingPaid members position in Recommended cohort	12	Reference	Jul 14, 2026Stale
#4	D-NixWritingCategory, audience, pricing & cadence	11	1 fewer	Jul 14, 2026Stale
#4	Helen DaleWritingCategory, audience, pricing & cadence	11	1 fewer	Jul 14, 2026Stale

The rank uses the full fixed cohort. This table shows up to five creators around Will Kurt; the coverage summary above still counts everyone.

What they publish

Recent posts

52Profile posts0 postsLast month100%Members-only

Previews available for 25 of 52 posts

Article Latest post$5 tier & upClean Up.ipynb

Really fun new post up on the blog involving creating a Diffusion Model from only linear components! A great way to understand diffusion mod...

Apr 23, 2023 0 likes 0 comments

A_B_test_base_model.ipynbA new post is up at the blog! This is a fun project that I had been meaning to do for awhile and turned out to be a great way to test the p...ArticleMar 27, 2023$5 tier & up 3 3 bayesian_computation_without_a_computer.pdfI recently got an interesting request for help from someone who had a brother that is currently incarcerated. The man was very interested in...ArticleMar 23, 2023$5 tier & up 0 0 2023 updateNo new writing yet this year but I wanted to share a bit what's on my mind as far as future writing. Mostly thinking about finance, economic...ArticleFeb 4, 2023$5 tier & up 1 1 convolution.zipI had a lot of fun (as always) putting this post on Convolutions in probability together: https://www.countbayesie.com/blog/2022/11/30/under...ArticleDec 1, 2022$5 tier & up 0 0 musk_and_volatilty_smiles.ipynbNew Post: What is the Probability Elon Musk will buy Twitter?ArticleOct 20, 2022$5 tier & up 0 0 twitter_question_post.ipynbNew Count Bayesie Post - Using Censored Data to Estimate a Normal DistributionArticleOct 9, 2022$5 tier & up 0 6 View 0 commentsAs many of you have probably noticed, I'd been dragging my feet over the months (years?) regarding Hacking Statistics.After taking a break o...ArticleOct 2, 2022$5 tier & up 0 0 Modern Portfolio Theory and Optimization with JAX — Count Bayesie.pdfNew Post: Modern Portfolio Theory and Optimization with JAXArticleAug 7, 2022$5 tier & up 0 0 View 0 commentsIt's been a bit since I've updated so I decided to post on an interesting problem I've been working on.I need to finish up my edits to Chapt...ArticleMay 21, 2022$5 tier & up 0 0 elo_notes.ipynbExample of using JAX for reverse engineering custom Elo rating systemsArticleApr 14, 2022$5 tier & up 0 0 March Updates! Chapters 3 & 4 of Hacking Statistics!Finally got the update recorded (you can see my excitement in the screen shot!). It's been a busy month of writing, so this is a longer vide...ArticleApr 1, 2022$5 tier & up 5 3

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